Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.392220 0.454485 0.522737 0.603006 0.694731 0.796175 0.916776
2025-06-29 0.275830 0.356887 0.455068 0.582305 0.742355 0.936497 1.189299
2025-07-06 0.213347 0.299472 0.411722 0.567807 0.778164 1.050621 1.428859
2025-07-13 0.180669 0.271074 0.396137 0.580211 0.842358 1.200033 1.722268
2025-07-20 0.161797 0.257103 0.395856 0.610219 0.930087 1.386027 2.080404
2025-07-27 0.144272 0.241546 0.389875 0.629252 1.001685 1.553624 2.426185
2025-08-03 0.127296 0.223783 0.377388 0.635500 1.052833 1.693759 2.742096
2025-08-10 0.111636 0.205530 0.361205 0.632899 1.088256 1.811125 3.031336
2025-08-17 0.097617 0.187834 0.343316 0.624607 1.112299 1.910964 3.299463
2025-08-24 0.086049 0.172700 0.327634 0.617633 1.136736 2.012022 3.576256
2025-08-31 0.074302 0.155465 0.305940 0.597154 1.134941 2.067843 3.780187
2025-09-07 0.071210 0.154406 0.313497 0.630253 1.230867 2.298021 4.301322
2025-09-14 0.061686 0.139342 0.293188 0.609570 1.227727 2.356212 4.529022
2025-09-21 0.053680 0.126265 0.275170 0.591266 1.227231 2.419265 4.771605
2025-09-28 0.047152 0.115348 0.260043 0.576735 1.232050 2.491698 5.036400
2025-10-05 0.043859 0.111152 0.258315 0.589334 1.291653 2.672202 5.519620
2025-10-12 0.042334 0.110814 0.264769 0.619785 1.390311 2.935895 6.183929
2025-10-19 0.040042 0.108296 0.266071 0.639097 1.467319 3.162526 6.792011
2025-10-26 0.037044 0.103579 0.261792 0.645437 1.517002 3.337565 7.309095
2025-11-02 0.033781 0.097680 0.254004 0.642798 1.546532 3.472901 7.754136
2025-11-09 0.030524 0.091290 0.244238 0.634384 1.562171 3.579936 8.147609
2025-11-16 0.027689 0.085598 0.235466 0.627308 1.580002 3.692675 8.561105
2025-11-23 0.024474 0.078317 0.221760 0.606527 1.563713 3.729408 8.812309